Metalurh Zaporizhyavs
SC Poltava 2
SCHEDULEDUkraine · Druha Liga · 10/10/2026, 2:00:00 PM
Unified score-distribution model
Prediction markets
Draw · BTTS No · Under 2.5 · 1-1
Metalurh Zaporizhya are 0W-4D-1L in their last 5 (DDDLD), averaging 0.40 scored and 1.20 conceded, while SC Poltava 2 are 2W-1D-0L in their last 3 (WWD), averaging 1.33 scored and 0.33 conceded. Both teams scored in 2 of those 8 games and 3 passed 2.5 goals, and SC Poltava 2 hold a 16.5-point power-rating edge (48.3 v 64.8). Goalvio's score-distribution model makes 1-1 the most likely exact scoreline at 34.3% in the Druha Liga, while a draw holds the strongest overall chance at 34% on the aggregated 1X2 probabilities, with a 49% BTTS chance and 42% for over 2.5 goals.
Predicted outcome
Draw
Probability
34.3%
Model confidence
34.3%
Draw has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.
Last 5 games
GF 2 · GA 6 · avg 0.40/1.20
GF 4 · GA 1 · avg 1.33/0.33