GGOALVIO

Ukraine · Druha Liga · 9/8/2023, 11:30:00 AM

Unified score-distribution model

Prediction markets

UCSA · BTTS No · Over 2.5 · 0-3

Highconfidence

Metalurh Zaporizhya II are 3W-0D-1L in their last 4 (LWWW), averaging 1.25 scored and 1.00 conceded, while UCSA are 4W-0D-1L in their last 5 (WWWLW), averaging 3.40 scored and 1.20 conceded. Both teams scored in 3 of those 9 games and 6 passed 2.5 goals, and UCSA hold a 43.8-point power-rating edge (33.8 v 77.5). Goalvio's score-distribution model makes 0-3 the most likely exact scoreline at 86.6% in the Druha Liga, while UCSA holds the strongest overall chance at 87% on the aggregated 1X2 probabilities, with a 34% BTTS chance and 66% for over 2.5 goals.

Predicted outcome

UCSA

Probability

86.6%

Model confidence

86.6%

UCSA has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.

Last 5 games

Metalurh Zaporizhya IILWWW

GF 5 · GA 4 · avg 1.25/1.00

BTTS 1/4O2.5 2/4
UCSAWWWLW

GF 17 · GA 6 · avg 3.40/1.20

BTTS 2/5O2.5 4/5
Metalurh Zaporizhya IIUCSA
24.6Attack79.5
36.2Defence83.3
33.3Form76.9
33.8Power77.5
0.43xG3.16
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