GGOALVIO

Ukraine · Druha Liga · 11/5/2023, 11:15:00 AM

Unified score-distribution model

Prediction markets

Trostianets · BTTS No · Under 2.5 · 0-1

Highconfidence

Metalurh Zaporizhya II are 1W-0D-4L in their last 5 (LWLLL), averaging 1.40 scored and 4.60 conceded, while Trostianets are 2W-0D-3L in their last 5 (WLLWL), averaging 1.00 scored and 1.80 conceded. Both teams scored in 6 of those 10 games and 8 passed 2.5 goals, and Trostianets hold a 22.4-point power-rating edge (33.8 v 56.2). Goalvio's score-distribution model makes 0-1 the most likely exact scoreline at 56.8% in the Druha Liga, while Trostianets holds the strongest overall chance at 57% on the aggregated 1X2 probabilities, with a 45% BTTS chance and 45% for over 2.5 goals.

Predicted outcome

Trostianets

Probability

56.8%

Model confidence

56.8%

Trostianets has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.

Last 5 games

Metalurh Zaporizhya IILWLLL

GF 7 · GA 23 · avg 1.40/4.60

BTTS 4/5O2.5 4/5
TrostianetsWLLWL

GF 5 · GA 9 · avg 1.00/1.80

BTTS 2/5O2.5 4/5
Metalurh Zaporizhya IITrostianets
24.6Attack33.3
36.2Defence83.3
33.3Form50.0
33.8Power56.2
0.76xG1.74
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