GGOALVIO

Ukraine · Druha Liga · 4/6/2024, 12:00:00 AM

Unified score-distribution model

Prediction markets

Metalurh Zaporizhya II · BTTS No · Under 2.5 · 1-1

Highconfidence

Metalurh Zaporizhya II are 1W-3D-1L in their last 5 (DDWLD), averaging 0.80 scored and 1.00 conceded, while Real Pharm are 1W-2D-2L in their last 5 (DDLWL), averaging 0.80 scored and 1.80 conceded. Both teams scored in 6 of those 10 games and 4 passed 2.5 goals, and Metalurh Zaporizhya II hold a 5.1-point power-rating edge (33.8 v 28.7). Goalvio's score-distribution model makes 1-1 the most likely exact scoreline at 37.7% in the Druha Liga, while Metalurh Zaporizhya II holds the strongest overall chance at 38% on the aggregated 1X2 probabilities, with a 44% BTTS chance and 36% for over 2.5 goals.

Predicted outcome

Metalurh Zaporizhya II

Probability

37.7%

Model confidence

37.7%

Metalurh Zaporizhya II has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.

Last 5 games

Metalurh Zaporizhya IIDDWLD

GF 4 · GA 5 · avg 0.80/1.00

BTTS 3/5O2.5 2/5
Real PharmDDLWL

GF 4 · GA 9 · avg 0.80/1.80

BTTS 3/5O2.5 2/5
Metalurh Zaporizhya IIReal Pharm
24.6Attack22.2
36.2Defence34.6
33.3Form21.0
33.8Power28.7
1.18xG0.95
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