GGOALVIO

Ukraine · Druha Liga · 10/27/2023, 9:15:00 AM

Unified score-distribution model

Prediction markets

Nyva Vinnytsya · BTTS Yes · Over 2.5 · 1-1

Highconfidence

Metalurh Zaporizhya II are 1W-0D-4L in their last 5 (WLLLL), averaging 1.40 scored and 5.20 conceded, while Nyva Vinnytsya are 3W-0D-2L in their last 5 (WLLWW), averaging 2.00 scored and 1.00 conceded. Both teams scored in 6 of those 10 games and 8 passed 2.5 goals, and Nyva Vinnytsya hold a 17.4-point power-rating edge (33.8 v 51.1). Goalvio's score-distribution model makes 1-1 the most likely exact scoreline at 57.5% in the Druha Liga, while Nyva Vinnytsya holds the strongest overall chance at 57% on the aggregated 1X2 probabilities, with a 51% BTTS chance and 52% for over 2.5 goals.

Predicted outcome

Nyva Vinnytsya

Probability

57.5%

Model confidence

57.5%

Nyva Vinnytsya has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.

Last 5 games

Metalurh Zaporizhya IIWLLLL

GF 7 · GA 26 · avg 1.40/5.20

BTTS 4/5O2.5 5/5
Nyva VinnytsyaWLLWW

GF 10 · GA 5 · avg 2.00/1.00

BTTS 2/5O2.5 3/5
Metalurh Zaporizhya IINyva Vinnytsya
24.6Attack55.6
36.2Defence44.4
33.3Form44.4
33.8Power51.1
0.88xG1.90
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