GGOALVIO

Ukraine · Druha Liga · 11/18/2023, 10:45:00 AM

Unified score-distribution model

Prediction markets

Lokomotiv Kyiv · BTTS Yes · Under 2.5 · 1-1

Highconfidence

Metalurh Zaporizhya II are 1W-1D-3L in their last 5 (DLWLL), averaging 1.40 scored and 3.00 conceded, while Lokomotiv Kyiv are 2W-2D-1L in their last 5 (WDLWD), averaging 2.00 scored and 1.00 conceded. Both teams scored in 7 of those 10 games and 5 passed 2.5 goals, and Lokomotiv Kyiv hold a 9.9-point power-rating edge (33.8 v 43.7). Goalvio's score-distribution model makes 1-1 the most likely exact scoreline at 49.1% in the Druha Liga, while Lokomotiv Kyiv holds the strongest overall chance at 49% on the aggregated 1X2 probabilities, with a 50% BTTS chance and 47% for over 2.5 goals.

Predicted outcome

Lokomotiv Kyiv

Probability

49.1%

Model confidence

49.1%

Lokomotiv Kyiv has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.

Last 5 games

Metalurh Zaporizhya IIDLWLL

GF 7 · GA 15 · avg 1.40/3.00

BTTS 4/5O2.5 3/5
Lokomotiv KyivWDLWD

GF 10 · GA 5 · avg 2.00/1.00

BTTS 3/5O2.5 2/5
Metalurh Zaporizhya IILokomotiv Kyiv
24.6Attack44.9
36.2Defence44.9
33.3Form38.5
33.8Power43.7
0.95xG1.62
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