GGOALVIO

Ukraine · Druha Liga · 4/12/2024, 12:00:00 AM

Unified score-distribution model

Prediction markets

Karpaty II · BTTS No · Under 2.5 · 1-1

Highconfidence

Metalurh Zaporizhya II are 1W-3D-1L in their last 5 (DDDWL), averaging 0.60 scored and 0.80 conceded, while Karpaty II are 2W-3D-0L in their last 5 (DDDWW), averaging 1.40 scored and 0.80 conceded. Both teams scored in 6 of those 10 games and 4 passed 2.5 goals, and Karpaty II hold a 14.8-point power-rating edge (33.8 v 48.6). Goalvio's score-distribution model makes 1-1 the most likely exact scoreline at 53.0% in the Druha Liga, while Karpaty II holds the strongest overall chance at 53% on the aggregated 1X2 probabilities, with a 49% BTTS chance and 48% for over 2.5 goals.

Predicted outcome

Karpaty II

Probability

53.0%

Model confidence

53.0%

Karpaty II has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.

Last 5 games

Metalurh Zaporizhya IIDDDWL

GF 3 · GA 4 · avg 0.60/0.80

BTTS 2/5O2.5 2/5
Karpaty IIDDDWW

GF 7 · GA 4 · avg 1.40/0.80

BTTS 4/5O2.5 2/5
Metalurh Zaporizhya IIKarpaty II
24.6Attack46.7
36.2Defence48.0
33.3Form48.0
33.8Power48.6
0.89xG1.71
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