GGOALVIO

Ukraine · Druha Liga · 3/23/2024, 12:00:00 AM

Unified score-distribution model

Prediction markets

Chayka · BTTS No · Over 2.5 · 0-2

Highconfidence

Metalurh Zaporizhya II are 2W-1D-2L in their last 5 (WLDLW), averaging 1.40 scored and 1.80 conceded, while Chayka are 3W-0D-2L in their last 5 (WLLWW), averaging 2.00 scored and 1.00 conceded. Both teams scored in 6 of those 10 games and 6 passed 2.5 goals, and Chayka hold a 33.0-point power-rating edge (33.8 v 66.8). Goalvio's score-distribution model makes 0-2 the most likely exact scoreline at 76.7% in the Druha Liga, while Chayka holds the strongest overall chance at 77% on the aggregated 1X2 probabilities, with a 33% BTTS chance and 51% for over 2.5 goals.

Predicted outcome

Chayka

Probability

76.7%

Model confidence

76.7%

Chayka has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.

Last 5 games

Metalurh Zaporizhya IIWLDLW

GF 7 · GA 9 · avg 1.40/1.80

BTTS 4/5O2.5 3/5
ChaykaWLLWW

GF 10 · GA 5 · avg 2.00/1.00

BTTS 2/5O2.5 3/5
Metalurh Zaporizhya IIChayka
24.6Attack60.3
36.2Defence76.9
33.3Form65.4
33.8Power66.8
0.44xG2.32
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