Metalul Buzăuvs
Ştefăneşti
COMPLETEDRomania · Liga II · 10/24/2026, 8:00:00 AM
Unified score-distribution model
Prediction markets
Metalul Buzău · BTTS No · Under 2.5
Projected score: Metalul Buzău 1-0 Ştefăneşti, with an exact score probability of 21%.
Prediction record
Final result
Metalul Buzău 3-0 Ştefăneşti
Original prediction
Metalul Buzău
Outcome
Correct
Prediction record created 26 September 2026 at 16:23 UTC. Recorded before kickoff. Model v5.5-balanced-draw-selection.
Value and market comparison
Odds bucket: 1.20-1.40| Market | Odds | Implied probability | Model probability | Difference |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Home | 1.20 | 75.3% | 76.0% | 0.7 pts |
| Draw | 5.69 | 15.9% | 17.6% | 1.7 pts |
| Away | 10.31 | 8.8% | 6.4% | -2.4 pts |
Historical EV
1X2 0.20 · Draw -1.00 · BTTS - · Over 2.5 -
Value score
0.7 pts
Projected Score
Metalul Buzău 1–0 Ştefăneşti
Exact score probability: 21%
Predicted outcome
Metalul Buzău
Probability
76.0%
Model confidence
76.0%
Metalul Buzău has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.
Last 5 games
GF 5 · GA 1 · avg 1.00/0.20
GF 3 · GA 15 · avg 0.60/3.00