Friendlies ClubsFriendlies Clubs
Saturday, 4 July 2026Last updated 10:15
Metalul Buzău

Metalul Buzău

Home
L
27
Full time
FC Bacau

FC Bacau

Away
W
GoalVio prediction
Friendly match
Very hard to predict

Friendly match — very hard to predict, not included in accuracy.

Metalul Buzău40%
FC Bacau33%
Draw28%
Most likely exact score2-1
Prediction missed— Result: FC Bacau
Win probability
Metalul Buzău
40%
Draw
28%
FC Bacau
33%
Predicted winner is based on the highest win probability.
Intelligence snapshot
Attack
Metalul Buzău
73
FC Bacau
100
Defence
Metalul Buzău
0
FC Bacau
27
Momentum
Metalul Buzău
0
FC Bacau
100
Danger (xG)
Metalul Buzău
1.80
FC Bacau
6.30
Both teams to score
Yes
Over 2.5 goals
Yes
xG for (Metalul Buzău)
1.80
avg per match
xG for (FC Bacau)
6.30
avg per match
xG against (Metalul Buzău)
6.30
avg per match
xG against (FC Bacau)
1.80
avg per match

Momentum trend

last 5 matches
Metalul BuzăuMetalul Buzău
L
FC BacauFC Bacau
W

Probability breakdown

40% confidence
Metalul Buzău40%
Draw28%
FC Bacau33%

Metalul Buzău leads with 40% — the model's highest-probability outcome for this fixture.

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Analysis

Match insights

Metalul Buzău head into this in Friendlies Clubs fixture in mixed form (L), while FC Bacau arrive in mixed form (W). Metalul Buzău have a 0% win rate across their last 1 matches, compared to 100% for FC Bacau over 1 games.

Both teams carry genuine attacking threat — Metalul Buzău (73/100) and FC Bacau (100/100) are both rated highly going forward. The model anticipates an open, goal-heavy contest.

Metalul Buzău have struggled at home recently, failing to win any of their last 1 home games. They average 2.0 goals scored and 7.0 conceded per home match. FC Bacau have been excellent on the road, winning all 1 of their recent away fixtures and averaging 7.0 goals scored and 2.0 conceded per away game.

FC Bacau have dominated recent head-to-head meetings, winning 1 of the last 1 encounters, averaging 9.0 goals per game, both teams scored in 1 of those fixtures.

The GoalVio engine projects Metalul Buzău to win with 40% confidence. and a most likely scoreline of 2-1. Win probabilities: Metalul Buzău 3960%, Draw 2760%, FC Bacau 3290%. BTTS: Yes, Over 2.5: Yes.

Head to head

Metalul Buzău 0Draws 01 FC Bacau
Avg goals: 9.0BTTS in 1/1
4 Jul 2026
Metalul Buzău
L27
FC Bacau

Recent form

Metalul Buzău

Metalul Buzău

L
vs FC Bacau
4 Jul 2026
27
FC Bacau

FC Bacau

W
@ Metalul Buzău
4 Jul 2026
72

Frequently asked questions

Who will win Metalul Buzău vs FC Bacau?

GoalVio's model predicts Metalul Buzău to win with 40% confidence.

What is the predicted score for Metalul Buzău vs FC Bacau?

The most likely scoreline according to GoalVio's Skellam-DC model is 2-1.

Will both teams score in Metalul Buzău vs FC Bacau?

GoalVio's model predicts BTTS: Yes — both teams are expected to score.

Will there be over 2.5 goals in Metalul Buzău vs FC Bacau?

GoalVio's model predicts Over 2.5 Goals: Yes.

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About this prediction
GoalVio Prediction Engine v5 — updated dailyPowered by Poisson, xG and momentum modelsAccuracy last 30 days: 54%Last model update:
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Responsible gambling: Predictions are generated by a statistical model for informational purposes only. Past accuracy does not guarantee future results. Learn more