Metalul Buzăuvs
Chindia Targoviste
COMPLETEDRomania · Liga II · 8/29/2026, 8:00:00 AM
Unified score-distribution model
Prediction markets
Metalul Buzău · BTTS No · Under 2.5
Most likely scores: 1-1 (15%), 0-0 (13%), 1-0 (11%). Each percentage is the probability of that exact score; the remaining probability belongs to other outcomes.
Prediction record
Final result
Metalul Buzău 1-3 Chindia Targoviste
Original prediction
Metalul Buzău
Outcome
Incorrect
Prediction record created 26 August 2026 at 00:53 UTC. Recorded before kickoff. Model v5.5-balanced-draw-selection.
Value and market comparison
Odds bucket: 2.00-3.50| Market | Odds | Implied probability | Model probability | Difference |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Home | 2.30 | 39.4% | 36.7% | -2.8 pts |
| Draw | 3.19 | 28.4% | 29.4% | 1.0 pts |
| Away | 2.81 | 32.2% | 34.0% | 1.8 pts |
Historical EV
1X2 -1.00 · Draw -1.00 · BTTS - · Over 2.5 -
Value score
-2.8 pts
Most Likely Scores
- 1.1–115%
- 2.0–013%
- 3.1–011%
Predicted outcome
Metalul Buzău
Probability
36.7%
Model confidence
36.7%
Metalul Buzău has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.
Last 5 games
GF 8 · GA 5 · avg 1.60/1.00
GF 10 · GA 5 · avg 2.00/1.00