Metalul Buzăuvs
ASA Targu Mures
COMPLETEDRomania · Liga II · 10/10/2026, 8:00:00 AM
Unified score-distribution model
Prediction markets
Metalul Buzău · BTTS No · Under 2.5
Most likely scores: 1-1 (13%), 1-0 (13%), 2-0 (11%). Each percentage is the probability of that exact score; the remaining probability belongs to other outcomes.
Prediction record
Final result
Metalul Buzău 1-0 ASA Targu Mures
Original prediction
Metalul Buzău
Outcome
Correct
Prediction record created 14 September 2026 at 16:56 UTC. Recorded before kickoff. Model v5.5-balanced-draw-selection.
Value and market comparison
Odds bucket: 2.00-3.50| Market | Odds | Implied probability | Model probability | Difference |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Home | 2.18 | 41.6% | 50.0% | 8.5 pts |
| Draw | 3.34 | 27.2% | 25.6% | -1.6 pts |
| Away | 2.90 | 31.3% | 24.4% | -6.9 pts |
Historical EV
1X2 1.18 · Draw -1.00 · BTTS - · Over 2.5 -
Value score
8.5 pts
Most Likely Scores
- 1.1–113%
- 2.1–013%
- 3.2–011%
Predicted outcome
Metalul Buzău
Probability
50.0%
Model confidence
50.0%
Metalul Buzău has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.
Last 5 games
GF 5 · GA 6 · avg 1.00/1.20
GF 10 · GA 10 · avg 2.00/2.00