Unified score-distribution model
Prediction markets
Draw · BTTS No · Under 2.5 · 0-0
Metalourg are 0W-0D-2L in their last 2 (LL), averaging 0.00 scored and 3.00 conceded, while Qizilqum are 1W-0D-1L in their last 2 (WL), averaging 0.50 scored and 1.50 conceded. Both teams scored in 0 of those 4 games and 3 passed 2.5 goals, and the power ratings are near level at 44.0 against 42.2. Goalvio's score-distribution model makes 0-0 the most likely exact scoreline at 40.1% in the Super League, while a draw holds the strongest overall chance at 40% on the aggregated 1X2 probabilities, with a 34% BTTS chance and 25% for over 2.5 goals.
Predicted outcome
Draw
Probability
40.1%
Model confidence
40.1%
Draw has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.
Last 5 games
GF 0 · GA 6 · avg 0.00/3.00
GF 1 · GA 3 · avg 0.50/1.50