Unified score-distribution model
Prediction markets
Metalourg · BTTS No · Under 2.5
Most likely scores: 1-1 (15%), 0-0 (13%), 1-0 (12%). Each percentage is the probability of that exact score; the remaining probability belongs to other outcomes.
Prediction details
Prediction record created 12 October 2026 at 01:20 UTC. Recorded before kickoff. Model v5.5-balanced-draw-selection.
Most Likely Scores
- 1.1–115%
- 2.0–013%
- 3.1–012%
Predicted outcome
Metalourg
Probability
42.0%
Model confidence
42.0%
Metalourg has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.
Last 5 games
MetalourgDWWWW
GF 9 · GA 2 · avg 1.80/0.40
BTTS 1/5O2.5 2/5
AralDWWDW
GF 9 · GA 3 · avg 1.80/0.60
BTTS 2/5O2.5 1/5
MetalourgAral
73.0Attack66.7
74.6Defence79.4
65.1Form79.4
68.4Power75.7
1.18xG0.97