GGOALVIO

Romania · Liga II · 10/10/2026, 8:00:00 AM

Unified score-distribution model

Prediction markets

Popești-Leordeni · BTTS Yes · Over 2.5

Most likely scores: 1-1 (10%), 1-2 (9%), 2-2 (7%). Each percentage is the probability of that exact score; the remaining probability belongs to other outcomes.

Prediction record

Final result

Metaloglobus 0-3 Popești-Leordeni

Original prediction

Popești-Leordeni

Outcome

Correct

Prediction record created 14 September 2026 at 16:56 UTC. Recorded before kickoff. Model v5.5-balanced-draw-selection.

Value and market comparison

Odds bucket: 2.00-3.50
MarketOddsImplied probabilityModel probabilityDifference
Home2.1043.2%34.6%-8.6 pts
Draw3.2028.3%23.3%-5.0 pts
Away3.1828.5%42.1%13.6 pts

Historical EV

1X2 2.18 · Draw -1.00 · BTTS - · Over 2.5 -

Value score

13.6 pts

Most Likely Scores

  1. 1.1–110%
  2. 2.1–29%
  3. 3.2–27%

Predicted outcome

Popești-Leordeni

Probability

42.1%

Model confidence

42.1%

Popești-Leordeni has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.

Last 5 games

MetaloglobusWDLLW

GF 7 · GA 8 · avg 1.40/1.60

BTTS 4/5O2.5 3/5
Popești-LeordeniLLWWD

GF 11 · GA 11 · avg 2.20/2.20

BTTS 5/5O2.5 4/5
MetaloglobusPopești-Leordeni
45.8Attack79.2
50.0Defence41.7
45.8Form62.5
49.6Power63.0
1.59xG2.01
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