GGOALVIO

Russia · Second League - Group 3 · 4/5/2026, 12:00:00 PM

Unified score-distribution model

Prediction markets

Metallurg Lipetsk · BTTS No · Over 2.5 · 3-0

Highconfidence

Metallurg Lipetsk are 1W-1D-3L in their last 5 (DLWLL), averaging 0.80 scored and 2.40 conceded, while Kvant are 0W-1D-4L in their last 5 (DLLLL), averaging 1.00 scored and 3.40 conceded. Both teams scored in 6 of those 10 games and 8 passed 2.5 goals, and Metallurg Lipetsk hold a 42.3-point power-rating edge (63.7 v 21.4). Goalvio's score-distribution model makes 3-0 the most likely exact scoreline at 88.4% in the Second League - Group 3, while Metallurg Lipetsk holds the strongest overall chance at 88% on the aggregated 1X2 probabilities, with a 46% BTTS chance and 79% for over 2.5 goals.

Predicted outcome

Metallurg Lipetsk

Probability

88.4%

Model confidence

88.4%

Metallurg Lipetsk has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.

Last 5 games

Metallurg LipetskDLWLL

GF 4 · GA 12 · avg 0.80/2.40

BTTS 3/5O2.5 3/5
KvantDLLLL

GF 5 · GA 17 · avg 1.00/3.40

BTTS 3/5O2.5 5/5
Metallurg LipetskKvant
66.7Attack33.3
61.4Defence7.0
61.4Form10.5
63.7Power21.4
3.91xG0.62
View match centre →