GGOALVIO

Russia · Second League A - Division A Silver · 7/22/2023, 2:00:00 PM

Unified score-distribution model

Prediction markets

Draw · BTTS No · Under 2.5 · 0-0

Highconfidence

Metallurg Lipetsk are 0W-1D-2L in their last 3 (LDL), averaging 0.33 scored and 1.33 conceded, while Chelyabinsk are 0W-0D-1L in their last 1 (L), averaging 0.00 scored and 1.00 conceded. Both teams scored in 1 of those 4 games and 1 passed 2.5 goals, and Chelyabinsk hold a 2.5-point power-rating edge (50.7 v 53.2). Goalvio's score-distribution model makes 0-0 the most likely exact scoreline at 45.9% in the Second League A - Division A Silver, while a draw holds the strongest overall chance at 46% on the aggregated 1X2 probabilities, with a 26% BTTS chance and 16% for over 2.5 goals.

Predicted outcome

Draw

Probability

45.9%

Model confidence

45.9%

Draw has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.

Last 5 games

Metallurg LipetskLDL

GF 1 · GA 4 · avg 0.33/1.33

BTTS 1/3O2.5 1/3
ChelyabinskL

GF 0 · GA 1 · avg 0.00/1.00

BTTS 0/1O2.5 0/1
Metallurg LipetskChelyabinsk
35.2Attack35.2
63.0Defence70.4
50.0Form48.1
50.7Power53.2
0.67xG0.71
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