GGOALVIO

Ukraine · Druha Liga · 9/14/2024, 10:30:00 AM

Unified score-distribution model

Prediction markets

Oleksandria II · BTTS Yes · Over 2.5 · 1-1

Highconfidence

Metalist 1925 II Kharkiv are 1W-1D-3L in their last 5 (LWDLL), averaging 1.60 scored and 3.20 conceded, while Oleksandria II are 2W-2D-1L in their last 5 (LDWDW), averaging 1.80 scored and 1.40 conceded. Both teams scored in 8 of those 10 games and 8 passed 2.5 goals, and Oleksandria II hold a 22.1-point power-rating edge (36.9 v 59.1). Goalvio's score-distribution model makes 1-1 the most likely exact scoreline at 50.3% in the Druha Liga, while Oleksandria II holds the strongest overall chance at 50% on the aggregated 1X2 probabilities, with a 57% BTTS chance and 56% for over 2.5 goals.

Predicted outcome

Oleksandria II

Probability

50.3%

Model confidence

50.3%

Oleksandria II has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.

Last 5 games

Metalist 1925 II KharkivLWDLL

GF 8 · GA 16 · avg 1.60/3.20

BTTS 4/5O2.5 4/5
Oleksandria IILDWDW

GF 9 · GA 7 · avg 1.80/1.40

BTTS 4/5O2.5 4/5
Metalist 1925 II KharkivOleksandria II
42.6Attack22.2
27.8Defence88.9
33.3Form55.6
36.9Power59.1
1.12xG1.83
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