GGOALVIO

Ukraine · Druha Liga · 5/17/2025, 11:30:00 AM

Unified score-distribution model

Prediction markets

Nyva Vinnytsya · BTTS Yes · Over 2.5 · 1-1

Highconfidence

Metalist 1925 II Kharkiv are 2W-2D-1L in their last 5 (LDWWD), averaging 1.20 scored and 1.20 conceded, while Nyva Vinnytsya are 2W-0D-3L in their last 5 (LLWLW), averaging 0.80 scored and 1.00 conceded. Both teams scored in 3 of those 10 games and 2 passed 2.5 goals, and Nyva Vinnytsya hold a 14.2-point power-rating edge (36.9 v 51.1). Goalvio's score-distribution model makes 1-1 the most likely exact scoreline at 51.3% in the Druha Liga, while Nyva Vinnytsya holds the strongest overall chance at 51% on the aggregated 1X2 probabilities, with a 66% BTTS chance and 67% for over 2.5 goals.

Predicted outcome

Nyva Vinnytsya

Probability

51.3%

Model confidence

51.3%

Nyva Vinnytsya has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.

Last 5 games

Metalist 1925 II KharkivLDWWD

GF 6 · GA 6 · avg 1.20/1.20

BTTS 2/5O2.5 1/5
Nyva VinnytsyaLLWLW

GF 4 · GA 5 · avg 0.80/1.00

BTTS 1/5O2.5 1/5
Metalist 1925 II KharkivNyva Vinnytsya
42.6Attack55.6
27.8Defence44.4
33.3Form44.4
36.9Power51.1
1.37xG2.13
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