GGOALVIO

Ukraine · Druha Liga · 9/20/2024, 12:00:00 PM

Unified score-distribution model

Prediction markets

Lokomotiv Kyiv · BTTS Yes · Over 2.5 · 1-1

Highconfidence

Metalist 1925 II Kharkiv are 1W-1D-3L in their last 5 (LLWDL), averaging 1.40 scored and 2.00 conceded, while Lokomotiv Kyiv are 1W-2D-2L in their last 5 (LWDLD), averaging 1.20 scored and 1.40 conceded. Both teams scored in 7 of those 10 games and 6 passed 2.5 goals, and Lokomotiv Kyiv hold a 6.8-point power-rating edge (36.9 v 43.7). Goalvio's score-distribution model makes 1-1 the most likely exact scoreline at 42.3% in the Druha Liga, while Lokomotiv Kyiv holds the strongest overall chance at 42% on the aggregated 1X2 probabilities, with a 66% BTTS chance and 64% for over 2.5 goals.

Predicted outcome

Lokomotiv Kyiv

Probability

42.3%

Model confidence

42.3%

Lokomotiv Kyiv has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.

Last 5 games

Metalist 1925 II KharkivLLWDL

GF 7 · GA 10 · avg 1.40/2.00

BTTS 4/5O2.5 4/5
Lokomotiv KyivLWDLD

GF 6 · GA 7 · avg 1.20/1.40

BTTS 3/5O2.5 2/5
Metalist 1925 II KharkivLokomotiv Kyiv
42.6Attack44.9
27.8Defence44.9
33.3Form38.5
36.9Power43.7
1.49xG1.82
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