GGOALVIO

Ukraine · Druha Liga · 4/19/2025, 10:45:00 AM

Unified score-distribution model

Prediction markets

Hirnyk-Sport · BTTS No · Under 2.5 · 1-1

Highconfidence

Metalist 1925 II Kharkiv are 1W-1D-3L in their last 5 (DWLLL), averaging 1.00 scored and 2.00 conceded, while Hirnyk-Sport are 3W-0D-2L in their last 5 (WWLLW), averaging 1.40 scored and 1.20 conceded. Both teams scored in 7 of those 10 games and 7 passed 2.5 goals, and Hirnyk-Sport hold a 14.5-point power-rating edge (36.9 v 51.4). Goalvio's score-distribution model makes 1-1 the most likely exact scoreline at 44.5% in the Druha Liga, while Hirnyk-Sport holds the strongest overall chance at 44% on the aggregated 1X2 probabilities, with a 49% BTTS chance and 44% for over 2.5 goals.

Predicted outcome

Hirnyk-Sport

Probability

44.5%

Model confidence

44.5%

Hirnyk-Sport has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.

Last 5 games

Metalist 1925 II KharkivDWLLL

GF 5 · GA 10 · avg 1.00/2.00

BTTS 3/5O2.5 3/5
Hirnyk-SportWWLLW

GF 7 · GA 6 · avg 1.40/1.20

BTTS 4/5O2.5 4/5
Metalist 1925 II KharkivHirnyk-Sport
42.6Attack35.2
27.8Defence63.0
33.3Form48.1
36.9Power51.4
0.98xG1.46
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