Metalist 1925 II Kharkivvs
Chernihiv
COMPLETEDUkraine · Druha Liga · 10/12/2024, 10:00:00 AM
Unified score-distribution model
Prediction markets
Chernihiv · BTTS No · Over 2.5 · 0-2
Metalist 1925 II Kharkiv are 0W-0D-5L in their last 5 (LLLLL), averaging 1.60 scored and 2.80 conceded, while Chernihiv are 2W-2D-1L in their last 5 (LDWDW), averaging 0.40 scored and 0.20 conceded. Both teams scored in 5 of those 10 games and 5 passed 2.5 goals, and Chernihiv hold a 33.0-point power-rating edge (36.9 v 69.9). Goalvio's score-distribution model makes 0-2 the most likely exact scoreline at 72.3% in the Druha Liga, while Chernihiv holds the strongest overall chance at 72% on the aggregated 1X2 probabilities, with a 46% BTTS chance and 59% for over 2.5 goals.
Predicted outcome
Chernihiv
Probability
72.3%
Model confidence
72.3%
Chernihiv has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.
Last 5 games
GF 8 · GA 14 · avg 1.60/2.80
GF 2 · GA 1 · avg 0.40/0.20