GGOALVIO

Ukraine · Druha Liga · 10/25/2024, 9:45:00 AM

Unified score-distribution model

Prediction markets

Chayka · BTTS No · Over 2.5 · 0-2

Highconfidence

Metalist 1925 II Kharkiv are 0W-0D-5L in their last 5 (LLLLL), averaging 1.20 scored and 2.60 conceded, while Chayka are 1W-2D-2L in their last 5 (LDLWD), averaging 0.60 scored and 1.40 conceded. Both teams scored in 6 of those 10 games and 5 passed 2.5 goals, and Chayka hold a 29.8-point power-rating edge (36.9 v 66.8). Goalvio's score-distribution model makes 0-2 the most likely exact scoreline at 74.8% in the Druha Liga, while Chayka holds the strongest overall chance at 75% on the aggregated 1X2 probabilities, with a 47% BTTS chance and 62% for over 2.5 goals.

Predicted outcome

Chayka

Probability

74.8%

Model confidence

74.8%

Chayka has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.

Last 5 games

Metalist 1925 II KharkivLLLLL

GF 6 · GA 13 · avg 1.20/2.60

BTTS 4/5O2.5 4/5
ChaykaLDLWD

GF 3 · GA 7 · avg 0.60/1.40

BTTS 2/5O2.5 1/5
Metalist 1925 II KharkivChayka
42.6Attack60.3
27.8Defence76.9
33.3Form65.4
36.9Power66.8
0.69xG2.61
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