GGOALVIO

Serbia · Prva Liga · 8/19/2023, 5:00:00 PM

Unified score-distribution model

Prediction markets

Draw · BTTS No · Under 2.5 · 0-0

Highconfidence

Metalac GM are 1W-1D-2L in their last 4 (LLDW), averaging 1.25 scored and 2.25 conceded, while Tekstilac Odžaci are 1W-1D-0L in their last 2 (WD), averaging 1.50 scored and 0.50 conceded. Both teams scored in 5 of those 6 games and 4 passed 2.5 goals, and Tekstilac Odžaci hold a 10.2-point power-rating edge (46.2 v 56.4). Goalvio's score-distribution model makes 0-0 the most likely exact scoreline at 47.6% in the Prva Liga, while a draw holds the strongest overall chance at 48% on the aggregated 1X2 probabilities, with a 20% BTTS chance and 12% for over 2.5 goals.

Predicted outcome

Draw

Probability

47.6%

Model confidence

47.6%

Draw has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.

Last 5 games

Metalac GMLLDW

GF 5 · GA 9 · avg 1.25/2.25

BTTS 4/4O2.5 3/4
Tekstilac OdžaciWD

GF 3 · GA 1 · avg 1.50/0.50

BTTS 1/2O2.5 1/2
Metalac GMTekstilac Odžaci
27.8Attack39.6
64.8Defence75.7
38.9Form51.4
46.2Power56.4
0.42xG0.79
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