Metalac GMvs
Loznica
COMPLETEDSerbia · Prva Liga · 8/29/2026, 3:00:00 PM
Unified score-distribution model
Prediction markets
Draw · BTTS No · Under 2.5
Projected score: Metalac GM 0-0 Loznica, with an exact score probability of 33%.
Prediction record
Final result
Metalac GM 2-4 Loznica
Original prediction
Draw
Outcome
Incorrect
Prediction record created 26 August 2026 at 01:00 UTC. Recorded before kickoff. Model v5.5-balanced-draw-selection.
Value and market comparison
Odds bucket: 2.00-3.50| Market | Odds | Implied probability | Model probability | Difference |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Home | 2.42 | 37.4% | 25.1% | -12.3 pts |
| Draw | 2.88 | 31.4% | 36.0% | 4.7 pts |
| Away | 2.90 | 31.2% | 38.9% | 7.6 pts |
Historical EV
1X2 -1.00 · Draw -1.00 · BTTS - · Over 2.5 -
Value score
4.7 pts
Projected Score
Metalac GM 0–0 Loznica
Exact score probability: 33%
Predicted outcome
Draw
Probability
36.0%
Model confidence
38.9%
Draw has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.
Last 5 games
Metalac GMLDLLD
GF 4 · GA 8 · avg 0.80/1.60
BTTS 3/5O2.5 2/5
LoznicaDDLDD
GF 4 · GA 5 · avg 0.80/1.00
BTTS 2/5O2.5 2/5
Metalac GMLoznica
27.8Attack35.2
64.8Defence75.2
38.9Form58.1
46.2Power58.6
0.43xG0.71