GGOALVIO

Serbia · Prva Liga · 8/29/2026, 4:00:00 PM

Unified score-distribution model

Prediction markets

Draw · BTTS No · Under 2.5 · 0-0

Highconfidence

Metalac GM are 1W-1D-3L in their last 5 (LLDWL), averaging 1.40 scored and 1.80 conceded, while Loznica are 2W-2D-1L in their last 5 (LDDWW), averaging 1.20 scored and 0.80 conceded. Both teams scored in 6 of those 10 games and 5 passed 2.5 goals, and Loznica hold a 12.3-point power-rating edge (46.2 v 58.6). Goalvio's score-distribution model makes 0-0 the most likely exact scoreline at 33.1% in the Prva Liga, while a draw holds the strongest overall chance at 45% on the aggregated 1X2 probabilities, with a 19% BTTS chance and 11% for over 2.5 goals.

Predicted outcome

Draw

Probability

44.6%

Model confidence

33.1%

Draw has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.

Last 5 games

Metalac GMLLDWL

GF 7 · GA 9 · avg 1.40/1.80

BTTS 4/5O2.5 3/5
LoznicaLDDWW

GF 6 · GA 4 · avg 1.20/0.80

BTTS 2/5O2.5 2/5
Metalac GMLoznica
27.8Attack35.2
64.8Defence75.2
38.9Form58.1
46.2Power58.6
0.43xG0.71
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