Metalac GMvs
Javor
COMPLETEDSerbia · Prva Liga · 10/24/2026, 12:00:00 PM
Unified score-distribution model
Prediction markets
Javor · BTTS Yes · Over 2.5
Most likely scores: 0-2 (12%), 1-1 (11%), 0-1 (10%). Each percentage is the probability of that exact score; the remaining probability belongs to other outcomes.
Prediction record
Final result
Metalac GM 1-2 Javor
Original prediction
Javor
Outcome
Correct
Prediction record created 26 September 2026 at 16:25 UTC. Recorded before kickoff. Model v5.5-balanced-draw-selection.
Value and market comparison
Odds bucket: 1.40-2.00| Market | Odds | Implied probability | Model probability | Difference |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Home | 4.89 | 18.5% | 21.4% | 2.9 pts |
| Draw | 3.82 | 23.7% | 24.6% | 0.9 pts |
| Away | 1.56 | 57.8% | 54.0% | -3.8 pts |
Historical EV
1X2 0.56 · Draw -1.00 · BTTS - · Over 2.5 -
Value score
-3.8 pts
Most Likely Scores
- 1.0–212%
- 2.1–111%
- 3.0–110%
Predicted outcome
Javor
Probability
54.0%
Model confidence
54.0%
Javor has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.
Last 5 games
Metalac GMLLDWW
GF 4 · GA 8 · avg 0.80/1.60
BTTS 1/5O2.5 2/5
JavorWDWDW
GF 12 · GA 5 · avg 2.40/1.00
BTTS 4/5O2.5 3/5
Metalac GMJavor
40.5Attack78.6
52.4Defence64.3
42.9Form64.3
46.0Power68.4
0.87xG2.03