Metalac GMvs
Grafičar
COMPLETEDSerbia · Prva Liga · 9/21/2026, 4:00:00 PM
Unified score-distribution model
Prediction markets
Metalac GM · BTTS No · Under 2.5
Projected score: Metalac GM 0-0 Grafičar, with an exact score probability of 20%.
Prediction record
Final result
Metalac GM 1-0 Grafičar
Original prediction
Metalac GM
Outcome
Correct
Prediction record created 6 September 2026 at 00:06 UTC. Recorded before kickoff. Model v5.5-balanced-draw-selection.
Value and market comparison
Odds bucket: 1.40-2.00| Market | Odds | Implied probability | Model probability | Difference |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Home | 1.90 | 47.3% | 39.3% | -8.0 pts |
| Draw | 3.25 | 27.7% | 31.0% | 3.4 pts |
| Away | 3.58 | 25.1% | 29.7% | 4.6 pts |
Historical EV
1X2 0.90 · Draw -1.00 · BTTS - · Over 2.5 -
Value score
-8.0 pts
Projected Score
Metalac GM 0–0 Grafičar
Exact score probability: 20%
Predicted outcome
Metalac GM
Probability
39.3%
Model confidence
39.3%
Metalac GM has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.
Last 5 games
Metalac GMWWDLL
GF 9 · GA 6 · avg 1.80/1.20
BTTS 2/5O2.5 3/5
GrafičarWLLLL
GF 7 · GA 12 · avg 1.40/2.40
BTTS 4/5O2.5 5/5
Metalac GMGrafičar
27.8Attack33.3
64.8Defence0.0
38.9Form0.0
46.2Power15.3
0.92xG0.75