Metalac GMvs
Grafičar
COMPLETEDSerbia · Prva Liga · 8/5/2023, 6:00:00 PM
Unified score-distribution model
Prediction markets
Draw · BTTS No · Under 2.5 · 0-0
Metalac GM are 1W-1D-0L in their last 2 (DW), averaging 1.50 scored and 1.00 conceded, while Grafičar are 1W-0D-4L in their last 5 (WLLLL), averaging 0.80 scored and 2.00 conceded. Both teams scored in 4 of those 7 games and 3 passed 2.5 goals, and Grafičar hold a 2.0-point power-rating edge (46.2 v 48.3). Goalvio's score-distribution model makes 0-0 the most likely exact scoreline at 40.4% in the Prva Liga, while a draw holds the strongest overall chance at 40% on the aggregated 1X2 probabilities, with a 36% BTTS chance and 26% for over 2.5 goals.
Predicted outcome
Draw
Probability
40.4%
Model confidence
40.4%
Draw has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.
Last 5 games
GF 3 · GA 2 · avg 1.50/1.00
GF 4 · GA 10 · avg 0.80/2.00