GGOALVIO

Ukraine · Cup · 8/2/2023, 2:00:00 PM

Unified score-distribution model

Prediction markets

Epitsentr Dunayivtsi · BTTS Yes · Over 2.5 · 1-1

Highconfidence

Metal Kharkiv are 0W-2D-3L in their last 5 (LLLDD), averaging 0.80 scored and 1.60 conceded, while Epitsentr Dunayivtsi are 1W-1D-0L in their last 2 (WD), averaging 0.50 scored and 0.00 conceded. Both teams scored in 2 of those 7 games and 1 passed 2.5 goals, and Epitsentr Dunayivtsi hold a 35.2-point power-rating edge (23.7 v 58.8). Goalvio's score-distribution model makes 1-1 the most likely exact scoreline at 37.1% in the Cup, while Epitsentr Dunayivtsi holds the strongest overall chance at 37% on the aggregated 1X2 probabilities, with a 58% BTTS chance and 53% for over 2.5 goals.

Predicted outcome

Epitsentr Dunayivtsi

Probability

37.1%

Model confidence

37.1%

Epitsentr Dunayivtsi has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.

Last 5 games

Metal KharkivLLLDD

GF 4 · GA 8 · avg 0.80/1.60

BTTS 2/5O2.5 1/5
Epitsentr DunayivtsiWD

GF 1 · GA 0 · avg 0.50/0.00

BTTS 0/2O2.5 0/2
Metal KharkivEpitsentr Dunayivtsi
33.3Attack55.6
33.3Defence44.4
0.0Form66.7
23.7Power58.8
1.32xG1.50
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