GGOALVIO

Ukraine · Persha Liga · 7/29/2023, 2:00:00 PM

Unified score-distribution model

Prediction markets

Draw · BTTS No · Under 2.5 · 1-1

Highconfidence

Metal Kharkiv are 0W-2D-3L in their last 5 (LLDLD), averaging 1.20 scored and 2.00 conceded, while Epitsentr Dunayivtsi are 0W-1D-0L in their last 1 (D), averaging 0.00 scored and 0.00 conceded. Both teams scored in 3 of those 6 games and 2 passed 2.5 goals, and Epitsentr Dunayivtsi hold a 7.6-point power-rating edge (47.8 v 55.4). Goalvio's score-distribution model makes 1-1 the most likely exact scoreline at 36.5% in the Persha Liga, while a draw holds the strongest overall chance at 36% on the aggregated 1X2 probabilities, with a 44% BTTS chance and 35% for over 2.5 goals.

Predicted outcome

Draw

Probability

36.5%

Model confidence

36.5%

Draw has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.

Last 5 games

Metal KharkivLLDLD

GF 6 · GA 10 · avg 1.20/2.00

BTTS 3/5O2.5 2/5
Epitsentr DunayivtsiD

GF 0 · GA 0 · avg 0.00/0.00

BTTS 0/1O2.5 0/1
Metal KharkivEpitsentr Dunayivtsi
16.7Attack46.4
66.7Defence60.7
50.0Form52.4
47.8Power55.4
1.01xG1.10
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