Unified score-distribution model
Prediction markets
Draw · BTTS No · Under 2.5 · 0-0
Meshakhte are 3W-1D-0L in their last 4 (DWWW), averaging 1.75 scored and 0.75 conceded, while Gonio are 1W-0D-1L in their last 2 (LW), averaging 3.00 scored and 1.50 conceded. Both teams scored in 4 of those 6 games and 3 passed 2.5 goals, and the power ratings are near level at 65.8 against 65.1. Goalvio's score-distribution model makes 0-0 the most likely exact scoreline at 38.8% in the Liga 3, while a draw holds the strongest overall chance at 39% on the aggregated 1X2 probabilities, with a 38% BTTS chance and 29% for over 2.5 goals.
Predicted outcome
Draw
Probability
38.8%
Model confidence
38.8%
Draw has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.
Last 5 games
GF 7 · GA 3 · avg 1.75/0.75
GF 6 · GA 3 · avg 3.00/1.50