Mes Soongounvs
Niroye Zamini
COMPLETEDIran · Azadegan League · 10/12/2026, 12:30:00 PM
Unified score-distribution model
Prediction markets
Draw · BTTS No · Under 2.5
Projected score: Mes Soongoun 0-0 Niroye Zamini, with an exact score probability of 29%.
Prediction record
Final result
Mes Soongoun 1-0 Niroye Zamini
Original prediction
Draw
Outcome
Incorrect
Prediction record created 20 September 2026 at 19:41 UTC. Recorded before kickoff. Model v5.5-balanced-draw-selection.
Value and market comparison
Odds bucket: 2.00-3.50| Market | Odds | Implied probability | Model probability | Difference |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Home | 2.45 | 36.8% | 33.3% | -3.5 pts |
| Draw | 2.78 | 32.4% | 34.8% | 2.4 pts |
| Away | 2.92 | 30.8% | 31.9% | 1.1 pts |
Historical EV
1X2 -1.00 · Draw -1.00 · BTTS - · Over 2.5 -
Value score
2.4 pts
Projected Score
Mes Soongoun 0–0 Niroye Zamini
Exact score probability: 29%
Predicted outcome
Draw
Probability
34.8%
Model confidence
34.8%
Draw has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.
Last 5 games
Mes SoongounLDDLW
GF 2 · GA 4 · avg 0.40/0.80
BTTS 1/5O2.5 0/5
Niroye ZaminiDLLWL
GF 2 · GA 5 · avg 0.40/1.00
BTTS 1/5O2.5 1/5
Mes SoongounNiroye Zamini
8.3Attack16.7
66.7Defence75.0
16.7Form33.3
33.8Power44.6
0.64xG0.64