Mes Soongounvs
Naft Masjed Soleyman
COMPLETEDIran · Azadegan League · 10/26/2026, 11:30:00 AM
Unified score-distribution model
Prediction markets
Draw · BTTS No · Under 2.5
Projected score: Mes Soongoun 0-0 Naft Masjed Soleyman, with an exact score probability of 22%.
Prediction record
Final result
Mes Soongoun 2-1 Naft Masjed Soleyman
Original prediction
Draw
Outcome
Incorrect
Prediction record created 26 September 2026 at 16:28 UTC. Recorded before kickoff. Model v5.5-balanced-draw-selection.
Value and market comparison
Odds bucket: 2.00-3.50| Market | Odds | Implied probability | Model probability | Difference |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Home | 2.40 | 37.1% | 33.5% | -3.6 pts |
| Draw | 2.87 | 31.0% | 32.4% | 1.4 pts |
| Away | 2.79 | 31.9% | 34.1% | 2.2 pts |
Historical EV
1X2 -1.00 · Draw -1.00 · BTTS - · Over 2.5 -
Value score
1.4 pts
Projected Score
Mes Soongoun 0–0 Naft Masjed Soleyman
Exact score probability: 22%
Predicted outcome
Draw
Probability
32.4%
Model confidence
34.1%
Draw has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.
Last 5 games
GF 5 · GA 4 · avg 1.00/0.80
GF 5 · GA 6 · avg 1.00/1.20