Mes Shahr-e Babakvs
Persepolis FC
COMPLETEDIran · Persian Gulf Pro League · 10/19/2026, 12:00:00 PM
Unified score-distribution model
Prediction markets
Persepolis FC · BTTS No · Under 2.5
Projected score: Mes Shahr-e Babak 0-1 Persepolis FC, with an exact score probability of 19%.
Prediction record
Final result
Mes Shahr-e Babak 0-3 Persepolis FC
Original prediction
Persepolis FC
Outcome
Correct
Prediction record created 20 September 2026 at 19:40 UTC. Recorded before kickoff. Model v5.5-balanced-draw-selection.
Value and market comparison
Odds bucket: 1.20-1.40| Market | Odds | Implied probability | Model probability | Difference |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Home | 10.19 | 9.0% | 10.2% | 1.2 pts |
| Draw | 4.27 | 21.4% | 21.3% | -0.0 pts |
| Away | 1.31 | 69.7% | 68.5% | -1.2 pts |
Historical EV
1X2 0.31 · Draw -1.00 · BTTS - · Over 2.5 -
Value score
-1.2 pts
Projected Score
Mes Shahr-e Babak 0–1 Persepolis FC
Exact score probability: 19%
Predicted outcome
Persepolis FC
Probability
68.5%
Model confidence
68.5%
Persepolis FC has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.
Last 5 games
GF 4 · GA 6 · avg 0.80/1.20
GF 9 · GA 2 · avg 1.80/0.40