Mes Rafsanjanvs
Niroye Zamini
COMPLETEDIran · Azadegan League · 10/20/2026, 1:15:00 PM
Unified score-distribution model
Prediction markets
Mes Rafsanjan · BTTS No · Under 2.5
Projected score: Mes Rafsanjan 0-0 Niroye Zamini, with an exact score probability of 33%.
Prediction record
Final result
Mes Rafsanjan 4-1 Niroye Zamini
Original prediction
Mes Rafsanjan
Outcome
Correct
Prediction record created 20 September 2026 at 19:41 UTC. Recorded before kickoff. Model v5.5-balanced-draw-selection.
Value and market comparison
Odds bucket: 1.40-2.00| Market | Odds | Implied probability | Model probability | Difference |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Home | 1.67 | 53.9% | 42.1% | -11.8 pts |
| Draw | 3.03 | 29.7% | 35.0% | 5.3 pts |
| Away | 5.50 | 16.4% | 22.8% | 6.5 pts |
Historical EV
1X2 0.67 · Draw -1.00 · BTTS - · Over 2.5 -
Value score
-11.8 pts
Projected Score
Mes Rafsanjan 0–0 Niroye Zamini
Exact score probability: 33%
Predicted outcome
Mes Rafsanjan
Probability
42.1%
Model confidence
42.1%
Mes Rafsanjan has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.
Last 5 games
GF 3 · GA 0 · avg 0.60/0.00
GF 2 · GA 4 · avg 0.40/0.80