Mes Rafsanjanvs
Havadar
COMPLETEDIran · Azadegan League · 9/16/2026, 2:30:00 PM
Unified score-distribution model
Prediction markets
Mes Rafsanjan · BTTS Yes · Over 2.5
Most likely scores: 1-1 (13%), 2-1 (9%), 1-0 (9%). Each percentage is the probability of that exact score; the remaining probability belongs to other outcomes.
Prediction record
Final result
Mes Rafsanjan 0-0 Havadar
Original prediction
Mes Rafsanjan
Outcome
Incorrect
Prediction record created 5 September 2026 at 10:41 UTC. Recorded before kickoff. Model v5.5-balanced-draw-selection.
Value and market comparison
Odds bucket: 2.00-3.50| Market | Odds | Implied probability | Model probability | Difference |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Home | 2.06 | 44.0% | 39.7% | -4.3 pts |
| Draw | 2.99 | 30.2% | 29.0% | -1.3 pts |
| Away | 3.51 | 25.8% | 31.3% | 5.5 pts |
Historical EV
1X2 -1.00 · Draw 1.99 · BTTS - · Over 2.5 -
Value score
-4.3 pts
Most Likely Scores
- 1.1–113%
- 2.2–19%
- 3.1–09%
Predicted outcome
Mes Rafsanjan
Probability
39.7%
Model confidence
39.7%
Mes Rafsanjan has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.
Last 5 games
GF 2 · GA 7 · avg 0.40/1.40
GF 3 · GA 9 · avg 0.60/1.80