Mes Rafsanjanvs
Be'sat Kermanshah
COMPLETEDIran · Azadegan League · 9/29/2026, 1:30:00 PM
Unified score-distribution model
Prediction markets
Draw · BTTS No · Under 2.5
Projected score: Mes Rafsanjan 0-0 Be'sat Kermanshah, with an exact score probability of 24%.
Prediction record
Final result
Mes Rafsanjan 1-0 Be'sat Kermanshah
Original prediction
Draw
Outcome
Incorrect
Prediction record created 5 September 2026 at 10:42 UTC. Recorded before kickoff. Model v5.5-balanced-draw-selection.
Value and market comparison
Odds bucket: 2.00-3.50| Market | Odds | Implied probability | Model probability | Difference |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Home | 2.65 | 33.9% | 31.9% | -2.0 pts |
| Draw | 2.80 | 32.2% | 33.1% | 0.9 pts |
| Away | 2.65 | 33.9% | 35.0% | 1.1 pts |
Historical EV
1X2 -1.00 · Draw -1.00 · BTTS - · Over 2.5 -
Value score
0.9 pts
Projected Score
Mes Rafsanjan 0–0 Be'sat Kermanshah
Exact score probability: 24%
Predicted outcome
Draw
Probability
33.1%
Model confidence
35.0%
Draw has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.
Last 5 games
Mes RafsanjanDDLLW
GF 2 · GA 4 · avg 0.40/0.80
BTTS 0/5O2.5 1/5
Be'sat KermanshahWDLLL
GF 4 · GA 7 · avg 0.80/1.40
BTTS 1/5O2.5 3/5
Mes RafsanjanBe'sat Kermanshah
0.0Attack50.0
100.0Defence100.0
33.3Form66.7
48.3Power71.2
0.69xG0.80