Mes Kermanvs
Shahin Bandar Ameri
COMPLETEDIran · Azadegan League · 10/26/2026, 11:30:00 AM
Unified score-distribution model
Prediction markets
Draw · BTTS No · Under 2.5
Projected score: Mes Kerman 0-0 Shahin Bandar Ameri, with an exact score probability of 23%.
Prediction record
Final result
Mes Kerman 1-1 Shahin Bandar Ameri
Original prediction
Draw
Outcome
Correct
Prediction record created 26 September 2026 at 16:28 UTC. Recorded before kickoff. Model v5.5-balanced-draw-selection.
Value and market comparison
Odds bucket: 2.00-3.50| Market | Odds | Implied probability | Model probability | Difference |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Home | 2.10 | 43.4% | 36.9% | -6.5 pts |
| Draw | 2.82 | 32.2% | 32.9% | 0.7 pts |
| Away | 3.73 | 24.4% | 30.2% | 5.8 pts |
Historical EV
1X2 1.82 · Draw 1.82 · BTTS - · Over 2.5 -
Value score
0.7 pts
Projected Score
Mes Kerman 0–0 Shahin Bandar Ameri
Exact score probability: 23%
Predicted outcome
Draw
Probability
32.9%
Model confidence
36.9%
Draw has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.
Last 5 games
Mes KermanLLDDL
GF 1 · GA 4 · avg 0.20/0.80
BTTS 1/5O2.5 0/5
Shahin Bandar AmeriLLWDD
GF 6 · GA 8 · avg 1.20/1.60
BTTS 2/5O2.5 3/5
Mes KermanShahin Bandar Ameri
11.1Attack38.9
72.2Defence50.0
16.7Form33.3
36.5Power42.6
0.81xG0.71