Mes Kermanvs
Saipa
COMPLETEDIran · Azadegan League · 9/22/2026, 12:30:00 PM
Unified score-distribution model
Prediction markets
Draw · BTTS No · Under 2.5
Projected score: Mes Kerman 0-0 Saipa, with an exact score probability of 41%.
Prediction record
Final result
Mes Kerman 0-1 Saipa
Original prediction
Draw
Outcome
Incorrect
Prediction record created 5 September 2026 at 10:41 UTC. Recorded before kickoff. Model v5.5-balanced-draw-selection.
Value and market comparison
Odds bucket: 2.00-3.50| Market | Odds | Implied probability | Model probability | Difference |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Home | 3.06 | 29.6% | 29.9% | 0.4 pts |
| Draw | 2.75 | 32.9% | 40.2% | 7.3 pts |
| Away | 2.41 | 37.5% | 29.9% | -7.7 pts |
Historical EV
1X2 -1.00 · Draw -1.00 · BTTS - · Over 2.5 -
Value score
7.3 pts
Projected Score
Mes Kerman 0–0 Saipa
Exact score probability: 41%
Predicted outcome
Draw
Probability
40.2%
Model confidence
40.2%
Draw has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.
Last 5 games
Mes KermanDWLDD
GF 5 · GA 3 · avg 1.00/0.60
BTTS 2/5O2.5 1/5
SaipaWWWWL
GF 7 · GA 2 · avg 1.40/0.40
BTTS 1/5O2.5 1/5
Mes KermanSaipa
27.3Attack33.3
76.8Defence73.7
47.5Form49.5
52.8Power54.1
0.47xG0.44