Mes Kermanvs
Mes Rafsanjan
COMPLETEDIran · Azadegan League · 10/12/2026, 11:30:00 AM
Unified score-distribution model
Prediction markets
Draw · BTTS No · Under 2.5
Projected score: Mes Kerman 0-0 Mes Rafsanjan, with an exact score probability of 32%.
Prediction record
Final result
Mes Kerman 0-1 Mes Rafsanjan
Original prediction
Draw
Outcome
Incorrect
Prediction record created 20 September 2026 at 19:41 UTC. Recorded before kickoff. Model v5.5-balanced-draw-selection.
Value and market comparison
Odds bucket: 2.00-3.50| Market | Odds | Implied probability | Model probability | Difference |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Home | 2.65 | 34.1% | 31.7% | -2.3 pts |
| Draw | 2.68 | 33.6% | 35.9% | 2.3 pts |
| Away | 2.78 | 32.4% | 32.4% | 0.0 pts |
Historical EV
1X2 -1.00 · Draw -1.00 · BTTS - · Over 2.5 -
Value score
2.3 pts
Projected Score
Mes Kerman 0–0 Mes Rafsanjan
Exact score probability: 32%
Predicted outcome
Draw
Probability
35.9%
Model confidence
35.9%
Draw has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.
Last 5 games
Mes KermanDDLDW
GF 5 · GA 3 · avg 1.00/0.60
BTTS 2/5O2.5 1/5
Mes RafsanjanWWDDL
GF 2 · GA 3 · avg 0.40/0.60
BTTS 0/5O2.5 1/5
Mes KermanMes Rafsanjan
16.7Attack16.7
75.0Defence100.0
25.0Form66.7
42.1Power64.8
0.58xG0.61