Unified score-distribution model
Prediction markets
Balkan · BTTS No · Under 2.5 · 1-1
Merw are 0W-1D-4L in their last 5 (LDLLL), averaging 0.60 scored and 3.20 conceded, while Balkan are 1W-0D-4L in their last 5 (LLWLL), averaging 0.60 scored and 2.40 conceded. Both teams scored in 4 of those 10 games and 7 passed 2.5 goals, and Balkan hold an 11.9-point power-rating edge (26.7 v 38.6). Goalvio's score-distribution model makes 1-1 the most likely exact scoreline at 39.5% in the Ýokary Liga, while Balkan holds the strongest overall chance at 40% on the aggregated 1X2 probabilities, with a 48% BTTS chance and 41% for over 2.5 goals.
Predicted outcome
Balkan
Probability
39.5%
Model confidence
39.5%
Balkan has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.
Last 5 games
GF 3 · GA 16 · avg 0.60/3.20
GF 3 · GA 12 · avg 0.60/2.40