Unified score-distribution model
Prediction markets
Arkadag · BTTS No · Over 2.5 · 0-4
Merw are 3W-1D-1L in their last 5 (DWLWW), averaging 1.80 scored and 1.20 conceded, while Arkadag are 4W-1D-0L in their last 5 (WWWDW), averaging 3.00 scored and 0.60 conceded. Both teams scored in 6 of those 10 games and 6 passed 2.5 goals, and Arkadag hold a 62.8-point power-rating edge (27.0 v 89.8). Goalvio's score-distribution model makes 0-4 the most likely exact scoreline at 92.6% in the Ýokary Liga, while Arkadag holds the strongest overall chance at 93% on the aggregated 1X2 probabilities, with a 40% BTTS chance and 82% for over 2.5 goals.
Predicted outcome
Arkadag
Probability
92.6%
Model confidence
92.6%
Arkadag has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.
Last 5 games
GF 9 · GA 6 · avg 1.80/1.20
GF 15 · GA 3 · avg 3.00/0.60