GGOALVIO

England · Non League Premier - Southern South · 9/24/2024, 6:45:00 PM

Unified score-distribution model

Prediction markets

Merthyr Town · BTTS Yes · Over 2.5 · 2-1

Highconfidence

Merthyr Town are 3W-1D-1L in their last 5 (DWWLW), averaging 2.20 scored and 0.80 conceded, while Winchester City are 1W-2D-2L in their last 5 (LDDWL), averaging 1.40 scored and 1.40 conceded. Both teams scored in 5 of those 10 games and 7 passed 2.5 goals, and Merthyr Town hold a 9.0-point power-rating edge (57.2 v 48.2). Goalvio's score-distribution model makes 2-1 the most likely exact scoreline at 58.3% in the Non League Premier - Southern South, while Merthyr Town holds the strongest overall chance at 58% on the aggregated 1X2 probabilities, with a 66% BTTS chance and 70% for over 2.5 goals.

Predicted outcome

Merthyr Town

Probability

58.3%

Model confidence

58.3%

Merthyr Town has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.

Last 5 games

Merthyr TownDWWLW

GF 11 · GA 4 · avg 2.20/0.80

BTTS 3/5O2.5 4/5
Winchester CityLDDWL

GF 7 · GA 7 · avg 1.40/1.40

BTTS 2/5O2.5 3/5
Merthyr TownWinchester City
67.5Attack50.0
53.2Defence46.8
53.2Form45.2
57.2Power48.2
2.39xG1.26
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