Merthyr Townvs
Winchester City
COMPLETEDEngland · Non League Premier - Southern South · 10/24/2023, 6:45:00 PM
Unified score-distribution model
Prediction markets
Merthyr Town · BTTS Yes · Over 2.5 · 2-1
Merthyr Town are 3W-2D-0L in their last 5 (DDWWW), averaging 2.00 scored and 1.00 conceded, while Winchester City are 1W-2D-2L in their last 5 (LDLDW), averaging 2.20 scored and 2.60 conceded. Both teams scored in 10 of those 10 games and 7 passed 2.5 goals, and Merthyr Town hold a 9.0-point power-rating edge (57.2 v 48.2). Goalvio's score-distribution model makes 2-1 the most likely exact scoreline at 58.3% in the Non League Premier - Southern South, while Merthyr Town holds the strongest overall chance at 58% on the aggregated 1X2 probabilities, with a 66% BTTS chance and 70% for over 2.5 goals.
Predicted outcome
Merthyr Town
Probability
58.3%
Model confidence
58.3%
Merthyr Town has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.
Last 5 games
GF 10 · GA 5 · avg 2.00/1.00
GF 11 · GA 13 · avg 2.20/2.60