GGOALVIO

England · Non League Premier - Southern South · 9/28/2024, 2:00:00 PM

Unified score-distribution model

Prediction markets

Merthyr Town · BTTS Yes · Over 2.5 · 2-1

Highconfidence

Merthyr Town are 3W-1D-1L in their last 5 (WDWWL), averaging 2.40 scored and 0.80 conceded, while Wimborne Town are 2W-1D-2L in their last 5 (WDLWL), averaging 0.60 scored and 1.20 conceded. Both teams scored in 4 of those 10 games and 6 passed 2.5 goals, and Merthyr Town hold a 35.7-point power-rating edge (57.2 v 21.5). Goalvio's score-distribution model makes 2-1 the most likely exact scoreline at 64.0% in the Non League Premier - Southern South, while Merthyr Town holds the strongest overall chance at 64% on the aggregated 1X2 probabilities, with a 61% BTTS chance and 67% for over 2.5 goals.

Predicted outcome

Merthyr Town

Probability

64.0%

Model confidence

64.0%

Merthyr Town has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.

Last 5 games

Merthyr TownWDWWL

GF 12 · GA 4 · avg 2.40/0.80

BTTS 3/5O2.5 4/5
Wimborne TownWDLWL

GF 3 · GA 6 · avg 0.60/1.20

BTTS 1/5O2.5 2/5
Merthyr TownWimborne Town
67.5Attack0.0
53.2Defence50.0
53.2Form0.0
57.2Power21.5
2.47xG1.07
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