Merthyr Townvs
Wimborne Town
COMPLETEDEngland · Non League Premier - Southern South · 9/28/2024, 2:00:00 PM
Unified score-distribution model
Prediction markets
Merthyr Town · BTTS Yes · Over 2.5 · 2-1
Merthyr Town are 3W-1D-1L in their last 5 (WDWWL), averaging 2.40 scored and 0.80 conceded, while Wimborne Town are 2W-1D-2L in their last 5 (WDLWL), averaging 0.60 scored and 1.20 conceded. Both teams scored in 4 of those 10 games and 6 passed 2.5 goals, and Merthyr Town hold a 35.7-point power-rating edge (57.2 v 21.5). Goalvio's score-distribution model makes 2-1 the most likely exact scoreline at 64.0% in the Non League Premier - Southern South, while Merthyr Town holds the strongest overall chance at 64% on the aggregated 1X2 probabilities, with a 61% BTTS chance and 67% for over 2.5 goals.
Predicted outcome
Merthyr Town
Probability
64.0%
Model confidence
64.0%
Merthyr Town has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.
Last 5 games
GF 12 · GA 4 · avg 2.40/0.80
GF 3 · GA 6 · avg 0.60/1.20