GGOALVIO

England · Non League Premier - Southern South · 12/28/2024, 3:00:00 PM

Unified score-distribution model

Prediction markets

Merthyr Town · BTTS Yes · Over 2.5 · 2-1

Highconfidence

Merthyr Town are 5W-0D-0L in their last 5 (WWWWW), averaging 3.20 scored and 1.20 conceded, while Walton & Hersham are 2W-2D-1L in their last 5 (WWDLD), averaging 2.20 scored and 1.80 conceded. Both teams scored in 8 of those 10 games and 8 passed 2.5 goals, and Merthyr Town hold a 2.9-point power-rating edge (57.2 v 54.3). Goalvio's score-distribution model makes 2-1 the most likely exact scoreline at 50.9% in the Non League Premier - Southern South, while Merthyr Town holds the strongest overall chance at 51% on the aggregated 1X2 probabilities, with a 72% BTTS chance and 74% for over 2.5 goals.

Predicted outcome

Merthyr Town

Probability

50.9%

Model confidence

50.9%

Merthyr Town has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.

Last 5 games

Merthyr TownWWWWW

GF 16 · GA 6 · avg 3.20/1.20

BTTS 5/5O2.5 5/5
Walton & HershamWWDLD

GF 11 · GA 9 · avg 2.20/1.80

BTTS 3/5O2.5 3/5
Merthyr TownWalton & Hersham
67.5Attack61.9
53.2Defence46.8
53.2Form51.6
57.2Power54.3
2.35xG1.59
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