GGOALVIO

England · Non League Premier - Southern South · 3/23/2024, 3:00:00 PM

Unified score-distribution model

Prediction markets

Merthyr Town · BTTS Yes · Over 2.5 · 2-1

Highconfidence

Merthyr Town are 1W-2D-2L in their last 5 (DWLDL), averaging 1.60 scored and 1.60 conceded, while Walton & Hersham are 2W-1D-2L in their last 5 (WWLLD), averaging 2.00 scored and 1.60 conceded. Both teams scored in 9 of those 10 games and 7 passed 2.5 goals, and Merthyr Town hold a 2.9-point power-rating edge (57.2 v 54.3). Goalvio's score-distribution model makes 2-1 the most likely exact scoreline at 50.9% in the Non League Premier - Southern South, while Merthyr Town holds the strongest overall chance at 51% on the aggregated 1X2 probabilities, with a 72% BTTS chance and 74% for over 2.5 goals.

Predicted outcome

Merthyr Town

Probability

50.9%

Model confidence

50.9%

Merthyr Town has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.

Last 5 games

Merthyr TownDWLDL

GF 8 · GA 8 · avg 1.60/1.60

BTTS 4/5O2.5 3/5
Walton & HershamWWLLD

GF 10 · GA 8 · avg 2.00/1.60

BTTS 5/5O2.5 4/5
Merthyr TownWalton & Hersham
67.5Attack61.9
53.2Defence46.8
53.2Form51.6
57.2Power54.3
2.35xG1.59
View match centre →