GGOALVIO

England · Non League Premier - Southern South · 8/10/2024, 2:00:00 PM

Unified score-distribution model

Prediction markets

Merthyr Town · BTTS Yes · Over 2.5 · 2-1

Highconfidence

Merthyr Town are 1W-2D-2L in their last 5 (DWLLD), averaging 2.00 scored and 1.60 conceded, while Tiverton Town are 2W-0D-3L in their last 5 (LLLWW), averaging 0.80 scored and 1.80 conceded. Both teams scored in 5 of those 10 games and 6 passed 2.5 goals, and Merthyr Town hold an 11.1-point power-rating edge (57.2 v 46.1). Goalvio's score-distribution model makes 2-1 the most likely exact scoreline at 62.6% in the Non League Premier - Southern South, while Merthyr Town holds the strongest overall chance at 63% on the aggregated 1X2 probabilities, with a 67% BTTS chance and 74% for over 2.5 goals.

Predicted outcome

Merthyr Town

Probability

62.6%

Model confidence

62.6%

Merthyr Town has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.

Last 5 games

Merthyr TownDWLLD

GF 10 · GA 8 · avg 2.00/1.60

BTTS 3/5O2.5 2/5
Tiverton TownLLLWW

GF 4 · GA 9 · avg 0.80/1.80

BTTS 2/5O2.5 4/5
Merthyr TownTiverton Town
67.5Attack50.8
53.2Defence41.3
53.2Form41.3
57.2Power46.1
2.66xG1.28
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