GGOALVIO

England · Non League Premier - Southern South · 8/15/2023, 6:45:00 PM

Unified score-distribution model

Prediction markets

Merthyr Town · BTTS Yes · Over 2.5 · 2-1

Highconfidence

Merthyr Town are 2W-0D-0L in their last 2 (WW), averaging 4.00 scored and 1.00 conceded, while Tiverton Town are 1W-1D-3L in their last 5 (LDLLW), averaging 2.40 scored and 2.80 conceded. Both teams scored in 5 of those 7 games and 6 passed 2.5 goals, and Merthyr Town hold an 11.1-point power-rating edge (57.2 v 46.1). Goalvio's score-distribution model makes 2-1 the most likely exact scoreline at 62.6% in the Non League Premier - Southern South, while Merthyr Town holds the strongest overall chance at 63% on the aggregated 1X2 probabilities, with a 67% BTTS chance and 74% for over 2.5 goals.

Predicted outcome

Merthyr Town

Probability

62.6%

Model confidence

62.6%

Merthyr Town has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.

Last 5 games

Merthyr TownWW

GF 8 · GA 2 · avg 4.00/1.00

BTTS 1/2O2.5 2/2
Tiverton TownLDLLW

GF 12 · GA 14 · avg 2.40/2.80

BTTS 4/5O2.5 4/5
Merthyr TownTiverton Town
67.5Attack50.8
53.2Defence41.3
53.2Form41.3
57.2Power46.1
2.66xG1.28
View match centre →