GGOALVIO

England · Non League Premier - Southern South · 1/25/2025, 3:00:00 PM

Unified score-distribution model

Prediction markets

Merthyr Town · BTTS Yes · Over 2.5 · 2-1

Highconfidence

Merthyr Town are 1W-4D-0L in their last 5 (WDDDD), averaging 1.00 scored and 0.80 conceded, while Taunton Town are 2W-3D-0L in their last 5 (DWDDW), averaging 2.00 scored and 1.40 conceded. Both teams scored in 8 of those 10 games and 5 passed 2.5 goals, and Merthyr Town hold a 3.0-point power-rating edge (57.2 v 54.2). Goalvio's score-distribution model makes 2-1 the most likely exact scoreline at 53.9% in the Non League Premier - Southern South, while Merthyr Town holds the strongest overall chance at 54% on the aggregated 1X2 probabilities, with a 70% BTTS chance and 73% for over 2.5 goals.

Predicted outcome

Merthyr Town

Probability

53.9%

Model confidence

53.9%

Merthyr Town has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.

Last 5 games

Merthyr TownWDDDD

GF 5 · GA 4 · avg 1.00/0.80

BTTS 3/5O2.5 1/5
Taunton TownDWDDW

GF 10 · GA 7 · avg 2.00/1.40

BTTS 5/5O2.5 4/5
Merthyr TownTaunton Town
67.5Attack83.3
53.2Defence33.3
53.2Form50.0
57.2Power54.2
2.38xG1.47
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